Google’s Chrome Dilemma: Why a Split Could Shake the Tech World

On Wednesday, the United States Department of Justice (DOJ) argued in court that Google must sell Chrome, its flagship browser, to break what officials describe as a monopoly on online searches. This landmark case has the potential to reshape the internet as we know it.

Chrome, used by millions globally, is central to how people navigate the web. Experts believe forcing Google to sell the browser could profoundly impact internet usage and redefine the future of web browsing.

A Decade of Oversight to Dismantle a Monopoly

The DOJ’s proposed measures include placing restrictions on Google for up to a decade, with enforcement managed by a court-appointed committee. The measures aim to address what the judge overseeing the case identified as an illegal monopoly in search and related advertising, where Google currently processes 90% of US searches.

Carmi Levy, a technology analyst, described the potential impact as seismic. He likened the situation to the uncertainty surrounding the Y2K crisis, stating, “So many workflows, apps, and services rely on Chrome as a foundation. If Google no longer maintains Chrome, the industry will need to pivot.”

Who Could Take Over Chrome?

For any buyer, owning Chrome would require substantial resources. Levy suggested only a few companies, such as Microsoft, would have the financial and engineering capacity to manage such a global asset. He noted that while users might not notice immediate changes, long-term implications could alter how browsers function, particularly regarding privacy and data handling.

What Happens to Your Smartphone?

One of the DOJ’s proposals involves ending exclusive agreements where Google pays billions annually to device manufacturers to make its search engine the default on smartphones and tablets.

Matt Hatfield, executive director of OpenMedia, said this could give consumers more options. “Instead of finding Chrome pre-installed on your Android phone, you might be offered a choice of browsers to download.”

Philip Palmer, vice president of the Canadian Internet Society, highlighted potential commercial implications. If Google is no longer subsidising its presence on Android devices, phone prices might increase.

The Impact on Advertising and Competition

Google’s dominance in the advertising industry could also diminish. Palmer explained that Chrome’s monopolistic position allows Google to command high advertising rates. If competition increases following a divestment, advertising rates could drop, potentially reshaping the digital advertising landscape.

Google Pushes Back

In response to the DOJ’s proposals, Kent Walker, Alphabet’s chief legal officer, described them as staggering. Walker argued that such measures would harm consumers, developers, and small businesses, while also jeopardising the US’s global technological leadership.

What the Future Could Look Like

If the DOJ succeeds, this case could mark a turning point in the tech industry. Consumers may see greater choice in browsers, potentially reshaping their digital experience. Meanwhile, the broader implications for advertising, device pricing, and innovation could ripple through the industry.

While immediate changes might not be visible, the long-term effects of Google selling Chrome could fundamentally alter the internet’s landscape, creating both challenges and opportunities for users and businesses alike.

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