In a research facility in northwest Beijing, molecular biologist Li Jieping and his team harvested a cluster of unusually small potatoes from a potted plant, grown under simulated high-temperature conditions predicted for the end of this century. These tiny tubers, weighing only 136 grams (4.8 ounces) collectively, are less than half the size of typical potatoes grown in China, the world’s largest producer of the crop.
Potatoes, a staple food with high yields relative to other crops, are critical to global food security. However, they are increasingly vulnerable to heat stress. A study led by Li at the International Potato Center (CIP) in Beijing revealed that elevated temperatures accelerate tuber growth but drastically reduce yields by over 50%. Published in the journal Climate Smart Agriculture, the findings underscore the urgent need for climate-resilient agricultural practices.
Adapting to a Warmer Future
China is already grappling with extreme weather, pushing farmers to seek higher-yielding, disease-resistant potato varieties. Late blight, the disease responsible for the Irish Potato Famine, thrives in warm and humid conditions, exacerbating the challenges posed by rising temperatures.
To address these threats, Li’s team is developing heat-tolerant potato strains through crossbreeding experiments in greenhouses. Additionally, the CIP is collaborating with the Chinese government to support farmers in adapting to changing conditions. Proposed strategies include shifting planting seasons to spring or moving cultivation to higher altitudes to escape rising heat levels.
As global temperatures are projected to rise by as much as 3.1°C (5.6°F) by 2100 under current climate policies, according to a recent United Nations report, Li emphasises the importance of proactive changes. Without immediate action, China and the rest of the world face significant risks to food security in the coming decades.
Li’s research serves as a stark reminder: the future of food depends on how well farmers, researchers, and policymakers adapt to a rapidly warming planet.